CollegeFootballWinning.com
is a company concerned only with college football picks betting analysis. As a result,
we spend most of our time analyzing the betting data from over 9,000 college football games. Included in the 9,000+ games of college football betting data
are the 328 Bowl games played the last 10 seasons. Since this article is being
written before the start of the 2014-2015 Bowl Season, it is a great time to look
at some Bowl game betting statistics from the past 10 seasons. Your Bowl Season
NCAA football picks might just benefit. In a previous article, we presented
five interesting Bowl game betting facts; the list below constitutes ten more:
1)
Favorites are 152-168-6 (47.5%)
against-the-spread. (Two games were “pick ‘em” games where there was no
favorite.)
2)
The public side (i.e. the side
that received the majority of the bets in a Bowl game matchup) is 153-161-6
(48.73%). Eight games had a perfect 50-50 split.
3)
The line direction from the
opening to the closing point spread suggested the correct side 53.6% of the
time.
4)
From opening to closing, the
betting line has moved at least three points 38 times. The line movement
suggested the correct side in 22 of those games (57.89%).
5)
The against-the-spread outcome
was different 20 times (6.1%) depending on whether the bettor bet on the
opening or the closing point spread. As a noteworthy aside, the
against-the-spread outcomes were the same in all of last season’s (2013-2014)
Bowl games, which means that it did not matter whether the bettor wagered on
the opening or the closing line.
6)
The average per-Bowl game
closing Total was 55.24 points, while the average per-Bowl game combined score
was 54.06.
7)
There have been 18 games where
at least 80% of the Totals bets were on the Over. The Over was the correct side
in just six (33.33%) of those games.
8)
In 10 Bowl Seasons and 328 Bowl
games, there have been just 22 games where a majority of the Totals betting was
on the Under. That Under majority was correct in 14 of those 22 contests
(63.64%).
9)
The Totals line direction, from
the opening to the closing number suggested the correct side 55.33% of the
time.
10) The Totals
outcome was different 17 times (5.18%) depending on whether the bettor bet on
the opening or the closing Total. Although in 10 years of Bowl games the Totals
outcome differed just 5.18% of the time, five of those games occurred last
year. Therefore, for the 2013-2014 Bowl Season, the Totals outcome was
different depending on the opening or closing number for 14.29% of all games.
In the world of
sports betting, knowledge is more than just power, it is profit. Certain tendencies
DO persist. At CollegeFootballWinning.com, it is our sole function to discover
those profitable college football betting tendencies. Without that knowledge,
bettors will eventually lose money, and even if one bets for fun, losing is
never fun.
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